Klaviyo Flow Trend Analysis

Source: Klaviyo API — Placed Order conversion metric · 45 active flows · Email + SMS
Q2 2025 – Q1 2026
$408K
TTM Flow Revenue
6,447
TTM Orders from Flows
45
Active Flows
55%
Avg Email Open Rate

1. Quarterly Revenue Overview

Flow revenue has scaled significantly since Q2 2025, driven by the RIQ suite launch in Q3 and peak holiday volume in Q4. Q1 2026 covers only 87 days (Jan 1–Mar 27) — annualized it represents a ~$289K/year pace.

QuarterRevenueOrdersRecipientsCVR
Q2 2025 (Apr–Jun)$55,404905113,3020.80%
Q3 2025 (Jul–Sep)$104,9941,714149,1471.15%
Q4 2025 (Oct–Dec) ★ Peak$178,4292,677230,4821.16%
Q1 2026 (Jan–Mar 27, 87 days)$68,8151,151157,3080.73%
TTM Total$407,6426,447650,2390.99%

2. The RIQ Migration (Most Important Story)

In Q3 2025, Grow migrated from legacy automation flows to a new RIQ (re-engagement & intelligent queue) framework. The results are clear: the RIQ flows significantly outperform the ones they replaced.

✅ Migration outcome: strong The [RIQ] Cart Flow peaked at $32,598 in Q4 — more than 2.5× what the legacy Abandoned Cart ever generated ($12,920). Same story for Browse. The jump from $55K (Q2) to $105K (Q3) is almost entirely attributable to the RIQ activation.
FlowChQ2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026
(RIQ) Welcome Flow RIQEmail $36,706$52,349$20,623
[RIQ] Cart Flow RIQEmail $13,612$32,598$11,825
[RIQ] Checkout Flow RIQEmail $7,489$21,360$7,538
[RIQ] Browse Flow RIQEmail $7,340$14,116$5,123
Abandoned Cart legacyEmail $12,920$5,338
Browse Abandonment legacyEmail $11,868$4,823

3. Top Flows — Quarterly Trend

FlowChQ2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026TTM
(RIQ) Welcome FlowEmail$36,706$52,349$20,623$109,678
[RIQ] Cart FlowEmail$13,612$32,598$11,825$58,035
[RIQ] Checkout FlowEmail$7,489$21,360$7,538$36,387
Post Purchase – 1st OrderEmail$7,942$6,356$10,535$2,781$27,614
[RIQ] Browse FlowEmail$7,340$14,116$5,123$26,579
SMS Welcome Series SMSSMS$273$8,922$10,620$5,223$25,038
Scent Quiz ⚠ watchEmail$11,587$7,267$980$539$20,373
Post Purchase – 2nd OrderEmail$2,627$2,445$5,093$1,061$11,226
Post Purchase – 3rd OrderEmail$2,131$1,195$2,399$1,015$6,740
Winback Flow RIQ new Q1Email$4,889$4,889

4. Conversion Rate & Open Rate Trends

Open rates are excellent and stable across all email flows (50–60%+), indicating strong deliverability and subject line quality. CVR softening in Q1 is a click-to-conversion issue, not an engagement problem.

FlowQ2 CVRQ3 CVRQ4 CVRQ1 CVRQ2 ORQ3 ORQ4 ORQ1 OR
(RIQ) Welcome Flow3.05%2.64%2.36%53.7%49.6%52.9%
[RIQ] Cart Flow2.25%1.89%1.62%58.3%54.5%56.1%
[RIQ] Checkout Flow2.72%2.27%2.29%58.6%46.3%55.9%
[RIQ] Browse Flow1.11%1.05%1.12%55.2%52.0%57.5%
SMS Welcome Series0.24%1.59%1.47%1.49%
Post Purchase – 1st Order0.31%0.34%0.24%0.21%58.0%59.1%58.0%58.1%
Scent Quiz2.30%1.51%0.92%0.62%56.9%53.8%51.1%48.6%

5. Key Findings

✅ What's Working RIQ suite significantly outperforms the legacy flows it replaced. Open rates are excellent (50–60%+) across all flows — deliverability and list health are strong. SMS Welcome Series has stabilized at ~1.5% CVR, an important and growing channel. Winback Flow RIQ launched in Q1 and immediately produced $4,889 — strong debut.
⚠️ Issues to Watch Welcome Flow CVR softening: 3.05% (Q3) → 2.36% (Q1). Cart Flow softening: 2.25% → 1.62%. Open rates are holding — so this is a click-to-conversion or landing page issue, not an email engagement problem. Scent Quiz is in sharp decline: $11.6K (Q2) → $539 (Q1). CVR fell from 2.3% to 0.6% and open rate is drifting down. Content refresh or audience review needed. Post Purchase 1st Order CVR declining (0.31% → 0.21%) — this hits your most valuable segment.
💡 Opportunities Black Friday flow variants (Welcome, Cart, Checkout) showed exceptional performance in Q4 — Welcome BF posted 15.6% CVR at 75% OR. The segmentation logic behind this should inform Spring and Summer launch variants. Cross-Sell Flow RIQ and Post Purchase 3rd+ Order flows show consistent, if small, revenue. They're worth nurturing.

6. Recommended Actions

🔴 Audit Welcome Flow + Cart Flow post-click experience
Open rates are holding at 50–56%, so the email itself is fine. The drop is after the click — landing page relevance, offer clarity, or site experience. A/B test the CTA destination or offer structure.
🔴 Rebuild or retire the Scent Quiz flow
CVR dropped from 2.3% to 0.6% over four quarters. Either the quiz experience has degraded or the audience feeding into it has changed. Either refresh the content or redirect the segment into another high-performing flow.
🟡 Strengthen Post Purchase 1st Order offer
This flow targets brand new customers — the highest LTV leverage point. CVR declining from 0.31% to 0.21%. A stronger cross-sell or loyalty incentive in message 1 or 2 could recover meaningful LTV.
🟡 Apply Black Friday segmentation logic to Spring/Summer launches
The BF Welcome variant posted 15.6% CVR at 75% OR. Study what made it work (segment definition, timing, offer) and replicate for the Spring Collection launch flow.
🔵 Monitor Winback Flow RIQ trajectory
$4,889 in its first quarter is a strong debut. Watch Q2 2026 to see if it scales as lapsed customers accumulate in the segment. No action needed yet — just track it.

Data: Klaviyo MCP, Placed Order conversion metric (WNWi5u, Shopify integration). Q1 2026 = Jan 1–Mar 27, 2026 (87 days, not a full quarter). Generated March 27, 2026.